Meet the quiet winners of the Supreme Court tariff ruling: hedge funds creating a $100 billion market snapping up rights to importers’ tariff refunds

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Like any speculative trade, the secondary tariff refund market was a result of traders deciding to take a gamble, in this case on the IEEPA tariffs being deemed illegal, necessitating the distribution of the tariff revenue. Importers approached hedge fund and other investment firm brokers, and in return for about a quarter, give or take, of the money they spent on tariffs, sold the rights to their refunds. If the refunds came, those investors would see the entirety of the returns.

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